4th Iccrts " C2 and Agility " Assessing Resilience in Complex Adaptive Societal Systems
نویسنده
چکیده
In this exploratory study, we adopted an existing analytical framework, based on the assessment of resilience in complex adaptive systems. This approach has been successfully applied, for example in the management of complex social-ecological systems. It emphasizes the apparent self-organizational and transitional character of complex adaptive systems, and denotes an intervention strategy based on resilience attributes, like (response) diversity, resistance and adaptability. As an illustrative case we aim to address the dynamics of today’s Afghan society for the resilience analysis in an operational context. This Afghan “human terrain” possesses all aspects of a complex (adaptive) system. In our analysis, the resilience attributes are regarded both spatially and temporally, at different scales, and within (and between) relevant domains. Moreover, it explicitly incorporates the role of each stakeholder. As part of the analysis a simple agent based model of the Afghan opium economy has been developed. We believe that, eventually, this combination of assessing resilience of the human terrain, together with a set of qualitative and quantitative tools, can contribute to more effective (military and humanitarian) operations based on improved understanding and guidance in implementing an overall intervention strategy.
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